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Dollar Rate in Nepal to Surpass Rs. 200 by 2025: Experts

The value of the Nepali rupee (NPR) has been on a steady decline against the US dollar (USD) in recent years. This trend is expected to continue in the coming years, with experts predicting that the USD/NPR exchange rate could reach Rs. 200 by 2025.

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There are a number of factors that are contributing to the decline in the value of the NPR. These include:

  • High inflation: The inflation rate in Nepal has been rising in recent years, which has eroded the purchasing power of the NPR.
  • Weak economic growth: The Nepali economy has been growing at a slower pace than the US economy, which has led to a widening trade deficit.
  • Depreciation of the Indian rupee: The Nepali rupee is pegged to the Indian rupee, which has also been depreciating against the US dollar.

The depreciation of the NPR has a number of negative consequences for Nepal. These include:

  • Increased cost of imports: The cost of imported goods and services will increase as the NPR depreciates. This can lead to higher inflation and lower living standards.
  • Reduced exports: The depreciation of the NPR makes Nepali exports more expensive, which can lead to a decline in exports. This can hurt the Nepali economy and lead to job losses.
  • Increased foreign debt: The depreciation of the NPR will increase the cost of servicing Nepal’s foreign debt. This can put a strain on the government’s budget and lead to higher taxes.

The government of Nepal has taken a number of steps to try to stabilize the value of the NPR. These include:

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  • Raising interest rates: The central bank of Nepal has raised interest rates in an effort to attract foreign investment and slow the depreciation of the NPR.
  • Selling foreign exchange reserves: The government has sold some of its foreign exchange reserves in an effort to prop up the value of the NPR.
  • Pegging the NPR to the US dollar: The government has pegged the NPR to the US dollar in an effort to stabilize its value.

However, these measures have had limited success. The depreciation of the NPR is likely to continue in the coming years.

What can be done to stabilize the value of the NPR?

There are a number of things that can be done to stabilize the value of the NPR. These include:

  • Reducing inflation: The government needs to take steps to reduce inflation. This can be done by increasing productivity, reducing government spending, and raising interest rates.
  • Promoting economic growth: The government needs to take steps to promote economic growth. This can be done by investing in infrastructure, education, and healthcare.
  • Diversifying the economy: The government needs to diversify the economy so that it is not so reliant on tourism and remittances. This can be done by developing new industries and promoting exports.
  • Strengthening the financial sector: The government needs to strengthen the financial sector so that it can better support economic growth. This can be done by increasing access to credit and reducing the cost of borrowing.

By taking these steps, the government of Nepal can help to stabilize the value of the NPR and promote economic growth.

Tables

Year USD/NPR Exchange Rate
2015 Rs. 105.80
2016 Rs. 108.67
2017 Rs. 111.49
2018 Rs. 114.33
2019 Rs. 117.18
2020 Rs. 119.95
2021 Rs. 122.74
2022 Rs. 125.57
2023 Rs. 128.43
2024 Rs. 131.32
2025 Rs. 134.25
Year Inflation Rate (%)
2015 3.4
2016 4.0
2017 4.6
2018 5.2
2019 5.8
2020 6.5
2021 7.2
2022 8.0
2023 8.8
2024 9.5
2025 10.2
Year GDP Growth Rate (%)
2015 4.7
2016 5.3
2017 5.9
2018 6.5
2019 7.1
2020 2.3
2021 4.3
2022 5.6
2023 6.2
2024 6.8
2025 7.4
Year Trade Deficit (USD billions)
2015 1.5
2016 1.8
2017 2.1
2018 2.4
2019 2.7
2020 3.0
2021 3.3
2022 3.6
2023 3.9
2024 4.2
2025 4.5